During 2024, Outplayed’s Pro and Pro Plus tools became more powerful than ever, and one member, Ellis11, has been making the most of it.

A long-time user of Outplayed and early tester of our new <a href="https://outplayed.com/blog/golf-master">Golf Master tool</a>, Ellis11 has quietly built up over £52,000 in profit using a combination of Pro and Pro Plus tools.

Ellis has been kind enough to share their journey, from getting started as a student to now operating with a five-figure bankroll and betting around 30 hours per week.

Whether you’re new to <a href="https://outplayed.com/blog/what-is-value-betting">value betting</a> or already using the <a href="https://outplayed.com/pro">Outplayed Pro</a> and Pro Plus tools yourself, there’s a lot to learn from Ellis’s approach.

From Student Side Hustle To Serious Profit

Ellis first discovered Matched Betting in early 2021 while studying at university and built up a bankroll from their profits before starting value betting with the Outplayed Pro tools last year.

“I started Matched betting through a friend of mine. I’ve now finished uni and work part-time, but I’ve been value betting since late 2024.”

Ellis has been an Outplayed member for over four and a half years now, steadily progressing from Matched Betting into more advanced strategies.

As of today, Ellis’s profit using the Pro Tools sits at over £52,000.

While Ellis uses most of the tools available through the Outplayed Pro membership, the main focus has been on:

Each plays a different role in the strategy, but the Steam Chaser is where most of the weekly turnover happens.

“I’ve made over £52,000 from the Pro Tools overall. The Steam Chaser is the one I use the most during the week.”

Ellis tracks everything carefully using both the in built profit tracker and spreadsheets to manage results. Check out some of Ellis’s results so far:

Steam Chaser: 1762 bets placed using the Steam Chaser making a total profit of £20841.61

Extra Place Master: 6675 bets placed using the Extra Place Master making a total profit of £26724.15

2UP Master: 538 bets placed using the 2UP Master making a total profit of £3335.48

When it comes to Steam Chaser, Ellis sticks to a focused setup and avoids cluttered markets.

“I mainly bet on Football and Basketball, but mostly football. I turn off half-time results and avoid corners/bookings. I focus on Match Result, Handicaps, and Match Totals.I have found a lot of success with Asian handicaps, especially 0.0 (also known as Draw No Bet)."

Ellis also configures these Steam Chaser filters to the following:

Markets: Winner, Handicaps, Match Totals

As one of the early testers of the <a href="https://outplayed.com/blog/golf-master">Golf Master</a>, Ellis has already seen encouraging results, despite some near misses.

“The Golf Master is a great way to get value on weekly golf tournaments, especially majors. So far, I’ve made £289 profit with an expected value (EV) of £679.I’ve been unlucky recently - finished 2nd in four straight tournaments - but the EV is there.”

A Week In The Life: Time, Setup, And Routine

Ellis treats this like a serious side hustle - putting in around 30 hours per week.

“I usually bet between 9am–12pm, especially on Saturdays.&nbsp;That’s where most of the value is. I also target big events like Cheltenham, Royal Ascot, and the start of the football season.”

It’s also good to hear Ellis’s set-up is refreshingly simple:

“I just have a laptop and phone. That’s all I’ve used since I started.”

Ellis now manages the following separate bankrolls across different value betting strategies:

Ellis uses quarter Kelly staking to stay consistent and to manage variance during the inevitable downswings.

“My biggest downswings were around £4,600 on horses and £4,800 on Steam Chaser. It’s tough, but I stay focused on getting EV. Long-term, it evens out.”

Avoiding Gubbings And Protecting Accounts

When it comes to <a href="https://outplayed.com/blog/top-tips-to-avoid-being-gubbed">avoiding being gubbed</a> and account longevity, Ellis takes a cautious but deliberate approach:

“On new accounts, I start slowly - I take lower-value bets and mix in some mug bets. Over time, I’ll gradually increase my stake size and go after more valuable bets.I also avoid huge EV bets, like 130%+, as I think those get flagged more easily.”

With over four years of experience and more than £50k in profits, Ellis’s advice is clear and grounded:

“Pick a strategy and stick to it. Focus on grabbing as much expected value (EV) as possible and don’t give up when you hit a bad run.&nbsp;Preparation is everything. Make sure you have accounts opened and money ready. You need to be quick to get the best prices.”

From a student just starting out to a serious bettor with tens of thousands in profit, Ellis’s journey is a brilliant example of what’s possible with the right tools and consistent effort.

The value betting tools, like Steam Chaser, Extra Place Master and Golf Master, are powerful - but they work best in the hands of someone who treats value betting with discipline and patience.

If you’ve got your own success story to share, we’d love to hear it. Just reach out to the <a href="https://outplayed.com/contact">Outplayed team</a> or post in the forum.

How This Long-Time Member Made £52,000 From Value Betting Alone Last Year

Outplayed’s Golf Master is a powerful tool designed to help you take high-value each way bets on golf.

Available exclusively to Outplayed Pro Plus members, it’s built for advanced bettors who want to extract value from bookmaker odds each week.

If you’ve ever used the <a href="https://outplayed.com/blog/extra-place-master">Extra Place Master</a> in No Lay mode, you’ll feel right at home.

The Golf Master works in a similar way, but specifically for golf, by analysing every player in a tournament and highlighting which bets have the highest <a href="https://outplayed.com/blog/what-is-expected-value">expected value</a> (EV).

That means no more guesswork. Just clear, data-backed bets that show which golfers are worth backing.

In this post, we’ll break down how the Golf Master works, when to use it, and how it can help you consistently place smarter, more profitable bets each week.

The Golf Master scans upcoming golf tournaments to calculate the expected value (EV) of each golfer.

Once calculated, the bets are listed in order of EV, so the most profitable opportunities appear right at the top.

You don’t need to work out the maths yourself or second-guess which odds might be worth taking.

The Golf Master is intuitive to use, and filters make it easy to focus on the bookmakers, tournaments, and EV ranges you care about.

It cuts through the noise and highlights real high value bets allowing you to take a large amount of value in a short space of time across a wide range of bookmakers.

The Golf Master is designed to be used before a tournament begins, typically between Monday and Thursday morning (depending on when tournaments begin).

This is when markets begin to form. Bookmakers often include additional extra places for golf due to the high number of players in each tournament; these extra places often mean there is even more value available.

You can place golf bets at any time of day - morning, afternoon, or evening - as long as it’s before the tournament tees off. Once play begins, bets will no longer appear on the software as the tool doesn’t support in-play betting.

The Golf Master is a <a href="https://outplayed.com/blog/what-is-value-betting">value betting</a> tool for no lay betting, so it's best suited for those comfortable with variance. That means you won’t win every bet, and that’s expected. But by consistently taking +EV bets, the long-term edge is firmly in your favour.

If you're new to value betting, start small and build gradually. Always double-check that the bookmaker is still offering the number of places shown in the software before placing your bet.

One of the biggest advantages of golf betting is how stable the markets are compared to horse racing.

In horse racing, odds can move rapidly, especially an hour or so before the race.

With golf, odds tend to hold steady for much longer, giving you more time to find and place value bets without feeling rushed.

This makes the Golf Master ideal for placing bets around your schedule.

You don’t need to be glued to your screen waiting for the perfect moment; you can scan the software, filter by your preferred bookmakers, and place your bets at any time of the day before the tournaments start.

Here are a few tips to help you get the most out of the Golf Master:

These habits will not only help protect your accounts but they’ll also ensure you’re consistently getting the best value available.

The Golf Master unlocks a high-value betting opportunity in a sport many people have never profited from before.

It finds huge +EV each-way bets across golf tournaments, all without needing free bets, promotions, or complex strategies.

You can even use gubbed or restricted accounts, making it ideal for those looking to get more out of accounts they thought were finished.

Because golf runs all year round, the value doesn’t stop and with stable odds, flexible timing, and a fresh new edge, the Golf Master adds a profitable new layer to your value betting strategy - one that’s easy to overlook, but hard to ignore once you see the returns.

The Golf Master: Take Massive Value Every Week

Golf is one of the most popular sports worldwide, for playing, spectating and <a href="https://outplayed.com/blog/sports-betting-guide">betting</a>.

As one of the oldest sports in the world it has a rich history full of tradition and iconic tournaments. Its popularity means the sport attracts large television audiences, huge sponsorship deals and substantial prize money.

Tournaments take place all year round on a global scale and include both individual events and team events too. Many of them take place over several days, there is, therefore, a vast range of betting opportunities and varied betting markets too.

New tools such as the&nbsp;<a href="https://outplayed.com/blog/golf-master">Golf Master</a>&nbsp;have made finding high value golf bets much easier.

Before we take a closer look at golf betting markets, tournaments, and what you need to consider when golf betting, we’ll give a brief summary of golf rules and scoring.

Golf is a club and ball sport played on a large grassed area called a golf course.

Every golf course is different, there's no standard size or layout, and this is deliberate to provide a series of varying challenges for players. However, professional events are usually played on an 18-hole golf course.

Each hole has a start point (teeing ground or the tee) and a finish point which is the cup hole and this sits on a short-grassed area known as the green or putting green.

In between the teeing ground and the hole is the ‘fairway’ which is a large stretch of grass that players aim to land their ball on while travelling to the hole. However, there is also hazardous terrain that the players have to navigate including sand bunkers, lakes, rocks, trees and long grass known as the ‘rough’.

The aim of the game is to get the ball from the tee-off area into the hole in as fewest strokes as possible. Every hole is played independently, but a full round of golf is all 18 holes, and so overall the aim is to make the smallest number of strokes over the full round.

Golf matches can be played with two, three or four players in opposition to each other or in teams depending on the event and the format and betting markets vary for each.

There are two different formats for golf scoring – stroke play and match play. Stroke play is the most common form of scoring in elite events.

Stroke play is basically how many strokes a player takes to get around a full 18-hole golf course and this is where par comes in.

‘Par’ is the expected amount of strokes that it takes to complete a golf hole or a golf course.

If a hole is expected to be completed in four strokes, then it is said to be a par 4. Likewise, less challenging holes will be a par 3 and more challenging holes will be par 5.

The par of a hole is determined by the length between the teeing ground and the hole, as well as things such as altitude, terrain and obstacles.

Golf scoring is completely centred around the par of a golf course. All players start on zero and they pick up and lose points based on whether they are playing on par, below par, or above par.

For example, if the first hole on a golf course is par 3 and a golfer completes the hole in three strokes, then their score will remain as zero. If the player completes it in two strokes, the score would be -1. If the player completed it in four strokes, then their score is +1.

A typical 18-hole golf course will have a total par around 72, although this can differ. This means that proficient golfers are expected to get around the full course in 72 strokes of the golf club.

If a golfer takes 75 strokes to get around the course, then their overall score will be +3 or three over par. If they complete it in 70 strokes, their final score will be -2 or two under par.

Golf scoring is one of the biggest golf betting markets you will find, so it’s vital that you understand the scoring system in order to make suitable bets.

In men's major championships the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lowest_rounds_of_golf">lowest recorded round of golf is 62</a> which has been achieved by a handful of players.

In the first round of the 2024 PGA Championship, Xander Schauffele became the first golfer to record a round of 62 twice in a major championship.

Golf has some unique terminology when it comes to particular scores and these feature heavily in betting markets. Here are some of the most common terms:

A hole score equal to the par of the hole e.g. 3 strokes on a 3 par hole. This has no effect on the overall score.

A hole score which is one under the par of a hole e.g. 2 strokes on a 3 par hole or 3 strokes on a four par hole. This will result in a -1 on the players score.

The term was apparently coined back in the 1890’s on a New Jersey golf course when a golfer accidentally hit a bird with one shot and completed the hole in one less stroke. His opponents said he’d scored ‘a bird’ and the term stuck.

The perfect round of golf is considered to be a 54 on a 72 par course, which would be a birdie on each hole but no player has ever recorded one in a pro tournament.

A hole score which is two under the par of a hole e.g. 2 strokes on a 4 par hole or 3 strokes on a five par hole. This will result in a -2 on the players score. The term ‘Eagle’ is a continuation of the ‘birdie’ terminology but using a bigger bird for a better score.

A hole score which is three under the par of a hole e.g. 2 strokes on a 5 par hole or a hole-in-one on a 4 par hole. This will result in a -3 on the players score. The Albatross obviously continues the bird theme in name, but it is also known as a double eagle in the US. This shot is extremely rare but does happen.

A hole score which is four under the par of a hole e.g. 1 stroke on a 5 par hole. This is the rarest shot in golf and can also be known as a double Albatross or triple eagle. It is so rare, that usually bookies won’t offer betting markets on it.

A hole score which is one over the par of a hole e.g. 4 strokes on a 3 par hole or 5 strokes on a 4 par hole. This will result in a +1 on the players score.

The term came from a golf club in Great Yarmouth in England back in the 1890’s based on the phrase ‘the bogey man’. Instead of par, the golfers played against an imaginary player ‘Colonel Bogey’ who had a predetermined number of strokes on each hole. It then led to one over par being known as a ‘bogey’.

A hole score which is two over the par of a hole e.g. 5 strokes on a 3 par hole or 6 strokes on a 4 par hole. This will result in a +2 on the players score.

A hole score which is three over the par of a hole e.g. 6 strokes on a 3 par hole or 7 strokes on a 4 par hole. This will result in a +3 on the players score. This would only usually occur if the golfer had hit particularly bad terrain and dropped shots trying to get out of the rough or sand bunker.

This is a popular betting market, despite it happening rarely. It refers to a player completing a hole in one single shot from the tee to the hole.

Sometimes called an ‘ace’, hole-in-ones usually happen on par 3 holes as most par 4 and par 5 holes are just too long. However, there are seven documented cases of hole-in-ones on 4 par holes in the professional game, so it is possible.

Although only used in a couple of tournaments, most prominently in the Ryder Cup, it is worth mentioning match play golf scoring as you will find betting markets on it.

Match play is a scoring system where a player, or team, earns a point for each hole in which they beat their opponents. If Team A scores par and Team B scores a birdie, then rather than the individual strokes being counted, the hole will go down as a 1-0 win for Team B.

The overall 18 hole golf course, therefore, turns into a Best of 18 format, with the first player or team to win 10 holes being the winner of that round. In big tournaments, there will be several rounds played in this format.

Golf is basically a series of tournaments that take place all year round, all over the world, organised by different golfing bodies.

Regardless of event, many of the betting markets are similar and we’ll take a look at some of the most common ones below.

This is a bet placed on who you think the overall winner of a golf tournament will be. Outright winner betting markets are usually available well in advance of the event. Generally, the earlier you place a bet, the better the odds will be.

For individual events, you bet on the player you think will win. For team events, you bet on which team.

It is also possible to place each way bets, and in the bigger tournaments some bookies offer each way bets up to 10 places.

If you think a player will be in the mix at the top of the leaderboard, but aren’t sure they’ll win it, then a Top 5, Top 10 or Top 20 Finish bet is a good option. This can give better returns than an Outright each way bet.

Most golf tournaments take place over multiple days and several rounds. You can therefore place bets on each round as well as the overall event. For example, you can bet on who you think the Round 1 winner will be and this can throw up some excellent odds for the outside golfers. It is not unheard of for a lesser ranked golfer, or even an amateur golfer, to have a great round one and top the leaderboard.

Bookies will offer betting markets on scores, usually with an under/over format. For example, on a 72 par course, they might offer a betting market on the winning score being over or under 67.5, and they will offer similar markets for individual player scores.

Another score market is betting on the number of strokes a tournament winner will triumph by. In team events such as the Ryder Cup, you can bet on what the margin will be between the two team scores.

You can bet on whether you think a hole-in-one will occur in a tournament, whether it will be in a specific round or whether a certain player will score one. There are also betting markets for other scores such as birdies, eagles or bogies in terms of how many will feature in a round or tournament.

Although the majority of golf tournaments are played individually, you will find betting markets that pit two players against each other. The odds are based on a head-to-head match-up such as whether one of the players will score better than the other in a specific round, or which player will finish higher overall than the other.

With golfers being from all across the globe, you can find betting markets on what nationality you think the winning player will be. You can also bet on who you think the top player of one nationality will be e.g. the highest finishing US player in a tournament.

The biggest golf tournaments such as the four majors have a cut-off point that golfers have to meet in order to continue participating. In four day events, this usually happens after the second day. Betting markets are therefore offered for whether you think a golfer will make the cut or not.

Golf is a great sport for in-play betting as the momentum can swing hugely from hole to hole. There are an abundance of in-play markets such as which player will do the longest drive, who will be closest to the pin, or who will score the next birdie for example. Plus, because players have to move from one hole to the next it does give time for in-play bets to be placed.

A key factor when betting on any sport is to secure the best odds available to you.

The better the odds you take, the more value you're going to get back.

You can use a betting odds comparison site such as&nbsp;<a href="https://www.oddschecker.com/golf">Oddschecker</a>&nbsp;to find the best available golf odds at any bookmaker.

Oddschecker shows the odds you can use at various online bookmakers so you can quickly see which site is offering the best golf odds on any given bet.

The best odds are shown in bold allowing you to easily identify the <a href="https://outplayed.com/blog/what-is-expected-value">best&nbsp;value bets</a>.

You can search and compare a whole range of golf betting markets too.

There are several professional golf tours that make up the schedule of tournaments each year. The PGA Tour, European Tour, LIV Golf and LPGA Tour are the biggest, but there’s also several more.

When it comes to golf betting markets, there are some key tournaments each year that offer the biggest range of betting lines and the best odds too. These are the four annual golf majors and the Ryder Cup and we’ll take a look at these below.

Taking place in April, The Masters is the first major of the year and it takes place on the same course each year – the world famous Augusta National Golf Club in Georgia, USA.

The Masters has the smallest field of all the majors with under 100 golfers, and winners of this prestigious event receive the famous green jacket.

The tournament takes place over four rounds of golf over four days from Thursday to Sunday. The first two rounds are played in groups of three, before the cut to the top 50 players, and the last two rounds are played in twos. The betting markets are vast for each round and for the tournament overall.

The Ultimate Golf Betting Guide

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Value betting involves placing bets that are more likely to win than suggested by the bookmaker’s odds.

Value betting is a betting strategy that gives you an edge over the bookmakers by finding odds that are higher than they should be.

It involves accurately working out how likely an outcome is, then using this information to find ‘overpriced’ bookmaker odds and betting on these.

Unlike with <a href="https://outplayed.com/what-is-matched-betting"></a><a href="https://outplayed.com/what-is-matched-betting">Matched Betting</a>, you won’t lock in a profit when placing a value bet.

But, if you can consistently find bets that have value to you – known as positive expected value (+EV) bets – you can make fantastic long-term profits from value betting.

Even better, value betting works with <a href="https://outplayed.com/blog/top-tips-to-avoid-being-gubbed">gubbed accounts</a>.

In this article, you’ll find out about how bookmakers set their odds, different value betting techniques, and a range of value betting tools.

First, we’ll look at some key ideas that help us understand how to find value bets.

Fair odds accurately reflect how likely a bet is to win.

A bookmaker offering fair odds would have no edge and would pay out as much in winnings as they took in losing bets over time.

With a coin toss, the chance of either heads or tails is 50%.

A bookmaker offering fair odds on a coin toss would pay double your stake if you won and take your stake if you lost.

To work out the return on a winning bet, the bookmaker multiplies your stake by the decimal odds. You win double your stake on a winning bet at fair odds for a coin toss, so the return on a £10 stake is:

Return = Stake x Odds = £10 x 2.0 = £20

£10 of this is just you getting your stake back, so the profit is £10.

There’s a 50% chance your bet wins, so you’ll make £10 profit half the time and lose your £10 stake the other half. Over time, you’ll break even, and so will the bookmaker.

The bookmaker would then go out of business quickly, which is why they don’t offer fair odds.

Implied probability shows how likely an outcome is, as implied by the odds.

It’s a really important concept when it comes to value betting. Lower odds bets are more likely to win, and higher odds bets less likely.

To work out the implied probability of a bet, you divide 1 by the decimal odds. For the fair odds coin toss bet, this is:

Implied probability = 1 / 2.0 = 0.5 = 50%

We know the actual chance of either heads or tails is 50%. Since the implied probability of the bet is the same as the actual likelihood of it winning, we can see that the odds of 2.0 are fair.

In betting, <a href="https://outplayed.com/blog/what-is-expected-value">expected value</a> is the average profit you’ll make from placing a bet.

It takes into account the likelihood of the bet winning or losing, the profit you make if it wins, and the loss you take if it loses.

For a £10 bet on a coin toss at odds of 2.0, the expected value (EV) is:

EV = (0.5 x £10) + (0.5 x -£10) = £5 - £5 = £0

This is just a way of saying, with maths, that you win £10 half the time and lose £10 the other half. It also shows there’s no long-term value to this bet for either you or the bookmaker. We’ll look at how to find that value later.

Bookmakers set their odds to ensure they profit in the long run. They work out the fair odds for a bet, then set their odds lower than this to give themselves an edge.

For a coin toss, they might lower the odds from fair odds of 2.0 to 1.9. This bet will return £19 if it wins (a £9 profit), and you’ll lose £10 if it loses.

EV = (0.5 x £9) + (0.5 x -£10) = £4.50 - £5 = -£0.50

In the long-term, you’ll lose 50p on average for each £10 bet you place, meaning this is a negative expected value (-EV) bet.

The bookmaker, on the other hand, makes a 50p profit for every £10 staked. This is their edge, or margin, and is the key to how they make money from the bets they offer.

Bookmakers use betting analysts, sports traders, and quants (quantitative analysts) to assess, as accurately as possible, the likelihood of an outcome.

The odds can then be set accordingly, making sure to reduce the odds a bit to factor in that all-important margin.

Some bookmakers also take into account odds from betting exchanges or other bookmakers when setting their own odds.

When two football teams play each other, betting analysts look at data, including previous results, recent form, expected weather conditions, team selection, and injuries.

They use this to predict the likelihood of the outcomes of a wide range of bets.

A bookmaker setting match odds for Serbia v England might assess the chances of the three possible outcomes as:

These correspond to fair odds of 9.52 for a Serbia win, 4.65 for a draw, and 1.47 for an England win.

To factor in a margin, the bookmaker lowers these odds to set their actual odds. For this game, they might have odds of 8 for Serbia, 4.5 for the draw, and 1.44 for England.

These are Betfred’s actual odds for the game. The imagined fair odds are an estimate of what these might be.

An educated guess was made that Betfred reduced Serbia’s odds by a much bigger factor than England’s, to take account of the <a href="https://daily.jstor.org/betting-on-the-longshot/">favourite-long shot bias</a>.

It’s been observed many times that bettors tend to bet on ‘long shots’ or ‘underdogs’ more than they should, based on the odds, so bookmakers can reduce the odds of long shots by more than they do with favourites.

Bookmakers can be roughly divided into two types – sharp bookmakers and soft bookmakers.

Sharp bookmakers are aimed at professional bettors. They tend to have lower margins and adjust their odds very quickly, using sophisticated systems.

Sharp bookmakers set their own odds, using advanced systems and models.

Most of the process is automated, allowing them to react to events like player injuries quickly, often adjusting odds in a few seconds. They are also often the first bookmakers to create a particular betting market.

The initial odds offered by a bookmaker are called opening odds. They are often released late at night or early in the morning, so are also known as overnight lines.

Although they don’t operate in the UK, Pinnacle are often referred to as the sharpest bookmaker. They don’t offer <a href="https://outplayed.com/blog/qualifying-bet-guide">sign-up or reload bonuses</a>, so can afford to have smaller margins on their betting markets.

Pinnacle post opening odds with low betting limits of perhaps a few hundred pounds. ‘Sharp’ bettors – experienced, well-informed, and often professional bettors – are often the ones placing the first bets on these opening odds. Pinnacle then adjust their odds based on the betting activity of these sharp bettors, whose opinion they value.

Once Pinnacle have refined their odds from their opening odds, they can confidently increase their betting limits to as high as £50,000 or more for some markets.

Due to their sophisticated methods, sharp bookmakers have very efficient odds. This means that, once the margin has been removed from their odds, they tend to be an accurate indicator of fair odds.

Many Asian bookmakers, for example, Dafabet and 188Bet, are generally considered to be sharp bookmakers.

Soft bookmakers are aimed at casual bettors. They tend to have higher margins and adjust their odds relatively slowly, often in response to odds changes at sharp bookmakers or exchanges.

Outplayed Blog

Matched Betting

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